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Turkey is changing grain trade dynamics again

Turkey Is Becoming More Competitive Again

Several recent developments are reshaping competition on the Turkish grain market and influencing trade flows across the Black Sea region.

Turkey opens 3 mln t corn import quota

In April, Turkey introduced a quota for 3 million tons of corn imports with a reduced customs duty of 5%.

The decision reflects continued pressure in the feed sector and growing demand for imported сырья despite domestic production efforts.

For exporters, this means stronger competition for access to the Turkish market.

Wheat imports become more flexible

Turkey is gradually easing restrictions on wheat imports, allowing millers and buyers to diversify suppliers again.

As a result, exporters from the Black Sea region, the EU and South America are competing more actively for Turkish demand.

Competition for Turkish demand is intensifying

Large global grain supplies and pressure on margins are turning the market increasingly into a buyer’s market.

Today, competitiveness depends not only on price, but also on:
  • logistics
  • freight costs
  • shipment timing
  • payment flexibility

Importers are becoming more flexible and reacting faster to market changes.

Better crop outlook does not remove risks

Turkey is expected to harvest a stronger wheat crop in the 2026/27 season thanks to improved weather conditions.

However, the market remains sensitive to:
  • policy changes
  • inflation pressure
  • logistics volatility
  • currency risks

Why Turkey remains one of the key markets

Turkey continues balancing domestic production with import needs while remaining:

  • one of the largest importers in the region
  • a major flour exporter
  • an important pricing reference point for Black Sea trade

As competition for demand intensifies, understanding the Turkish market is becoming increasingly important for exporters, traders and logistics companies.

These developments — and the changing role of Turkey in global grain trade — will be among the key topics discussed at BBS Grain 2026 in Istanbul.